{"as_of":"2026-10-25","version":"integrada_20261025T050344Z_9f6148","camara":"Congreso","fecha_eleccion":"2026-11-29","simulaciones":10000,"fuente":"https://electorallab.com/congreso-ccaa-castilla-y-leon.html","metodologia":"https://electorallab.com/metodologia.html","license":"https://electorallab.com/aviso-legal.html","nota":"Agregado territorial de las elecciones generales al Congreso; las circunscripciones siguen siendo provinciales.","nota_voto":"El voto estimado se agrega ponderando cada provincia por sus votos válidos de 2023. Es un resumen territorial de la proyección de las generales.","nota_bandas":"Las bandas del 80 % se calculan sumando las provincias dentro de cada simulación conjunta y tomando los percentiles 10 y 90. Los extremos de las bandas provinciales no se suman.","nota_margenes":"Los márgenes son provinciales: winner_q y runner_q son cocientes D’Hondt, no porcentajes de voto; delta_pp es el incremento de voto provincial del aspirante, con los demás votos fijos.","cita":"ElectoralLab, «Castilla y León: reparto del Congreso», 2026-10-25, https://electorallab.com/congreso-ccaa-castilla-y-leon.html.","comunidad":{"codigo":"07","nombre":"Castilla y León","tipo":"comunidad_autonoma","escanos":31,"partidos":[{"partido":"PP","nombre":"PP","escanos":15,"p10":12,"mediana":15,"p90":18,"voto_pct":40.03},{"partido":"PSOE","nombre":"PSOE","escanos":10,"p10":7,"mediana":9,"p90":11,"voto_pct":27.48},{"partido":"VOX","nombre":"Vox","escanos":6,"p10":3,"mediana":6,"p90":9,"voto_pct":21.46},{"partido":"SUMAR","nombre":"Frente Amplio","escanos":0,"p10":0,"mediana":0,"p90":0,"voto_pct":3.28},{"partido":"PODEMOS","nombre":"Podemos","escanos":0,"p10":0,"mediana":0,"p90":0,"voto_pct":1.76},{"partido":"SALF","nombre":"Se Acabó La Fiesta","escanos":0,"p10":0,"mediana":0,"p90":0,"voto_pct":1.73},{"partido":"U.P.L.","nombre":"Unión del Pueblo Leonés","escanos":0,"p10":0,"mediana":0,"p90":0,"voto_pct":1.4},{"partido":"SY","nombre":"Soria ¡Ya!","escanos":0,"p10":0,"mediana":0,"p90":1,"voto_pct":0.6},{"partido":"XAV","nombre":"Por Ávila","escanos":0,"p10":0,"mediana":0,"p90":1,"voto_pct":0.45}],"provincias":[{"codigo":"09","nombre":"Burgos","escanos":4,"reparto":{"PP":2,"PSOE":1,"VOX":1},"margen":{"seat_num":4,"winner":"PP","winner_seats":2,"winner_q":19.79,"runner":"PSOE","runner_seats":1,"runner_q":14.82,"delta_pp":9.94},"url":"https://electorallab.com/congreso-burgos.html"},{"codigo":"24","nombre":"León","escanos":4,"reparto":{"PP":2,"PSOE":1,"VOX":1},"margen":{"seat_num":4,"winner":"PP","winner_seats":2,"winner_q":17.81,"runner":"PSOE","runner_seats":1,"runner_q":14.34,"delta_pp":6.94},"url":"https://electorallab.com/congreso-leon.html"},{"codigo":"34","nombre":"Palencia","escanos":3,"reparto":{"PP":2,"PSOE":1},"margen":{"seat_num":3,"winner":"PP","winner_seats":2,"winner_q":20.32,"runner":"VOX","runner_seats":0,"runner_q":20.28,"delta_pp":0.04},"url":"https://electorallab.com/congreso-palencia.html"},{"codigo":"37","nombre":"Salamanca","escanos":4,"reparto":{"PP":2,"PSOE":1,"VOX":1},"margen":{"seat_num":4,"winner":"PP","winner_seats":2,"winner_q":22.44,"runner":"PSOE","runner_seats":1,"runner_q":12.82,"delta_pp":19.25},"url":"https://electorallab.com/congreso-salamanca.html"},{"codigo":"40","nombre":"Segovia","escanos":3,"reparto":{"PP":1,"PSOE":1,"VOX":1},"margen":{"seat_num":3,"winner":"VOX","winner_seats":1,"winner_q":21.96,"runner":"PP","runner_seats":1,"runner_q":21.72,"delta_pp":0.48},"url":"https://electorallab.com/congreso-segovia.html"},{"codigo":"42","nombre":"Soria","escanos":2,"reparto":{"PP":1,"PSOE":1},"margen":{"seat_num":2,"winner":"PSOE","winner_seats":1,"winner_q":25.03,"runner":"PP","runner_seats":1,"runner_q":17.99,"delta_pp":14.08},"url":"https://electorallab.com/congreso-soria.html"},{"codigo":"47","nombre":"Valladolid","escanos":5,"reparto":{"PP":2,"PSOE":2,"VOX":1},"margen":{"seat_num":5,"winner":"PSOE","winner_seats":2,"winner_q":13.9,"runner":"PP","runner_seats":2,"runner_q":13.1,"delta_pp":2.39},"url":"https://electorallab.com/congreso-valladolid.html"},{"codigo":"49","nombre":"Zamora","escanos":3,"reparto":{"PP":2,"PSOE":1},"margen":{"seat_num":3,"winner":"PP","winner_seats":2,"winner_q":21.55,"runner":"VOX","runner_seats":0,"runner_q":20.64,"delta_pp":0.91},"url":"https://electorallab.com/congreso-zamora.html"},{"codigo":"05","nombre":"Ávila","escanos":3,"reparto":{"PP":1,"PSOE":1,"VOX":1},"margen":{"seat_num":3,"winner":"PSOE","winner_seats":1,"winner_q":22.67,"runner":"PP","runner_seats":1,"runner_q":20.49,"delta_pp":4.36},"url":"https://electorallab.com/congreso-avila.html"}],"url":"https://electorallab.com/congreso-ccaa-castilla-y-leon.html","markdown":"https://electorallab.com/markdown/congreso-ccaa-castilla-y-leon.md","datos":"https://electorallab.com/data/comunidades/07.json"}}