{"as_of":"2026-10-25","version":"integrada_20261025T050344Z_9f6148","camara":"Congreso","fecha_eleccion":"2026-11-29","simulaciones":10000,"fuente":"https://electorallab.com/congreso-ccaa-castilla-la-mancha.html","metodologia":"https://electorallab.com/metodologia.html","license":"https://electorallab.com/aviso-legal.html","nota":"Agregado territorial de las elecciones generales al Congreso; las circunscripciones siguen siendo provinciales.","nota_voto":"El voto estimado se agrega ponderando cada provincia por sus votos válidos de 2023. Es un resumen territorial de la proyección de las generales.","nota_bandas":"Las bandas del 80 % se calculan sumando las provincias dentro de cada simulación conjunta y tomando los percentiles 10 y 90. Los extremos de las bandas provinciales no se suman.","nota_margenes":"Los márgenes son provinciales: winner_q y runner_q son cocientes D’Hondt, no porcentajes de voto; delta_pp es el incremento de voto provincial del aspirante, con los demás votos fijos.","cita":"ElectoralLab, «Castilla-La Mancha: reparto del Congreso», 2026-10-25, https://electorallab.com/congreso-ccaa-castilla-la-mancha.html.","comunidad":{"codigo":"08","nombre":"Castilla-La Mancha","tipo":"comunidad_autonoma","escanos":21,"partidos":[{"partido":"PP","nombre":"PP","escanos":8,"p10":7,"mediana":9,"p90":11,"voto_pct":38.09},{"partido":"PSOE","nombre":"PSOE","escanos":7,"p10":5,"mediana":7,"p90":8,"voto_pct":29.72},{"partido":"VOX","nombre":"Vox","escanos":6,"p10":4,"mediana":6,"p90":6,"voto_pct":25.0},{"partido":"SUMAR","nombre":"Frente Amplio","escanos":0,"p10":0,"mediana":0,"p90":0,"voto_pct":3.14},{"partido":"SALF","nombre":"Se Acabó La Fiesta","escanos":0,"p10":0,"mediana":0,"p90":0,"voto_pct":1.71},{"partido":"PODEMOS","nombre":"Podemos","escanos":0,"p10":0,"mediana":0,"p90":0,"voto_pct":1.69}],"provincias":[{"codigo":"02","nombre":"Albacete","escanos":4,"reparto":{"PP":2,"PSOE":1,"VOX":1},"margen":{"seat_num":4,"winner":"PP","winner_seats":2,"winner_q":19.61,"runner":"PSOE","runner_seats":1,"runner_q":15.07,"delta_pp":9.09},"url":"https://electorallab.com/congreso-albacete.html"},{"codigo":"13","nombre":"Ciudad Real","escanos":5,"reparto":{"PP":2,"PSOE":2,"VOX":1},"margen":{"seat_num":5,"winner":"PSOE","winner_seats":2,"winner_q":15.45,"runner":"PP","runner_seats":2,"runner_q":13.27,"delta_pp":6.54},"url":"https://electorallab.com/congreso-ciudad-real.html"},{"codigo":"16","nombre":"Cuenca","escanos":3,"reparto":{"PP":1,"PSOE":1,"VOX":1},"margen":{"seat_num":3,"winner":"VOX","winner_seats":1,"winner_q":22.18,"runner":"PP","runner_seats":1,"runner_q":19.56,"delta_pp":5.25},"url":"https://electorallab.com/congreso-cuenca.html"},{"codigo":"19","nombre":"Guadalajara","escanos":3,"reparto":{"PP":1,"PSOE":1,"VOX":1},"margen":{"seat_num":3,"winner":"VOX","winner_seats":1,"winner_q":26.94,"runner":"PP","runner_seats":1,"runner_q":17.75,"delta_pp":18.39},"url":"https://electorallab.com/congreso-guadalajara.html"},{"codigo":"45","nombre":"Toledo","escanos":6,"reparto":{"PP":2,"PSOE":2,"VOX":2},"margen":{"seat_num":6,"winner":"VOX","winner_seats":2,"winner_q":13.67,"runner":"PP","runner_seats":2,"runner_q":12.28,"delta_pp":4.18},"url":"https://electorallab.com/congreso-toledo.html"}],"url":"https://electorallab.com/congreso-ccaa-castilla-la-mancha.html","markdown":"https://electorallab.com/markdown/congreso-ccaa-castilla-la-mancha.md","datos":"https://electorallab.com/data/comunidades/08.json"}}