{"as_of":"2026-10-25","version":"integrada_20261025T050344Z_9f6148","camara":"Congreso","fecha_eleccion":"2026-11-29","simulaciones":10000,"fuente":"https://electorallab.com/congreso-ccaa-cataluna.html","metodologia":"https://electorallab.com/metodologia.html","license":"https://electorallab.com/aviso-legal.html","nota":"Agregado territorial de las elecciones generales al Congreso; las circunscripciones siguen siendo provinciales.","nota_voto":"El voto estimado se agrega ponderando cada provincia por sus votos válidos de 2023. Es un resumen territorial de la proyección de las generales.","nota_bandas":"Las bandas del 80 % se calculan sumando las provincias dentro de cada simulación conjunta y tomando los percentiles 10 y 90. Los extremos de las bandas provinciales no se suman.","nota_margenes":"Los márgenes son provinciales: winner_q y runner_q son cocientes D’Hondt, no porcentajes de voto; delta_pp es el incremento de voto provincial del aspirante, con los demás votos fijos.","cita":"ElectoralLab, «Cataluña: reparto del Congreso», 2026-10-25, https://electorallab.com/congreso-ccaa-cataluna.html.","comunidad":{"codigo":"09","nombre":"Cataluña","tipo":"comunidad_autonoma","escanos":48,"partidos":[{"partido":"PSOE","nombre":"PSOE","escanos":17,"p10":13,"mediana":16,"p90":20,"voto_pct":29.32},{"partido":"ERC","nombre":"ERC","escanos":9,"p10":8,"mediana":11,"p90":13,"voto_pct":19.03},{"partido":"JUNTS","nombre":"Junts","escanos":8,"p10":5,"mediana":7,"p90":8,"voto_pct":11.93},{"partido":"VOX","nombre":"Vox","escanos":7,"p10":5,"mediana":7,"p90":9,"voto_pct":13.53},{"partido":"PP","nombre":"PP","escanos":5,"p10":3,"mediana":5,"p90":7,"voto_pct":11.01},{"partido":"SUMAR","nombre":"Frente Amplio","escanos":2,"p10":1,"mediana":2,"p90":3,"voto_pct":5.73},{"partido":"CUP","nombre":"CUP","escanos":0,"p10":0,"mediana":0,"p90":1,"voto_pct":2.84},{"partido":"SALF","nombre":"Se Acabó La Fiesta","escanos":0,"p10":0,"mediana":0,"p90":1,"voto_pct":1.67}],"provincias":[{"codigo":"08","nombre":"Barcelona","escanos":32,"reparto":{"ERC":6,"JUNTS":4,"PP":4,"PSOE":11,"SUMAR":2,"VOX":5},"margen":{"seat_num":32,"winner":"JUNTS","winner_seats":4,"winner_q":2.64,"runner":"ERC","runner_seats":6,"runner_q":2.64,"delta_pp":0.01},"url":"https://electorallab.com/congreso-barcelona.html"},{"codigo":"17","nombre":"Girona","escanos":6,"reparto":{"ERC":1,"JUNTS":2,"PSOE":2,"VOX":1},"margen":{"seat_num":6,"winner":"JUNTS","winner_seats":2,"winner_q":9.97,"runner":"ERC","runner_seats":1,"runner_q":9.9,"delta_pp":0.13},"url":"https://electorallab.com/congreso-girona.html"},{"codigo":"25","nombre":"Lleida","escanos":4,"reparto":{"ERC":1,"JUNTS":1,"PSOE":2},"margen":{"seat_num":4,"winner":"PSOE","winner_seats":2,"winner_q":11.91,"runner":"VOX","runner_seats":0,"runner_q":11.69,"delta_pp":0.22},"url":"https://electorallab.com/congreso-lleida.html"},{"codigo":"43","nombre":"Tarragona","escanos":6,"reparto":{"ERC":1,"JUNTS":1,"PP":1,"PSOE":2,"VOX":1},"margen":{"seat_num":6,"winner":"PP","winner_seats":1,"winner_q":11.1,"runner":"ERC","runner_seats":1,"runner_q":10.21,"delta_pp":1.78},"url":"https://electorallab.com/congreso-tarragona.html"}],"url":"https://electorallab.com/congreso-ccaa-cataluna.html","markdown":"https://electorallab.com/markdown/congreso-ccaa-cataluna.md","datos":"https://electorallab.com/data/comunidades/09.json"}}