{"as_of":"2026-10-26","version":"integrada_20261026T152009Z_d7e26f","generated_at":"2026-10-27T02:16:17+00:00","license":"https://electorallab.com/aviso-legal.html","metodologia":"https://electorallab.com/metodologia.html","simulaciones":10000,"pregunta":"¿En qué provincias es primero el PP?","respuesta":"Según ElectoralLab, a 26 de octubre de 2026, el PP encabeza el voto estimado en 44 de las 52 provincias, frente a 40 en el escrutinio definitivo de 2023. Es una proyección sujeta a incertidumbre, no un resultado electoral.","fuente":"https://electorallab.com/provincias-donde-gana-el-pp.html","cita":"ElectoralLab, «¿En qué provincias es primero el PP?», 2026-10-26, https://electorallab.com/provincias-donde-gana-el-pp.html.","columnas":["Provincia","Voto PP","Segunda candidatura","Voto de la segunda","Escaños PP"],"filas":[[{"texto":"Lugo","url":"https://electorallab.com/congreso-lugo.html"},"48,65 %","PSOE","23,84 %",3],[{"texto":"Ourense","url":"https://electorallab.com/congreso-ourense.html"},"48,46 %","PSOE","23,67 %",3],[{"texto":"Melilla","url":"https://electorallab.com/congreso-melilla.html"},"45,98 %","Vox","23,55 %",1],[{"texto":"La Rioja","url":"https://electorallab.com/congreso-la-rioja.html"},"44,83 %","PSOE","31,27 %",2],[{"texto":"Salamanca","url":"https://electorallab.com/congreso-salamanca.html"},"44,76 %","PSOE","25,80 %",2],[{"texto":"Segovia","url":"https://electorallab.com/congreso-segovia.html"},"43,31 %","PSOE","26,09 %",1],[{"texto":"Zamora","url":"https://electorallab.com/congreso-zamora.html"},"42,88 %","PSOE","27,72 %",2],[{"texto":"A Coruña","url":"https://electorallab.com/congreso-a-coruna.html"},"41,19 %","PSOE","21,81 %",4],[{"texto":"Cantabria","url":"https://electorallab.com/congreso-cantabria.html"},"40,59 %","PSOE","28,60 %",2],[{"texto":"Ávila","url":"https://electorallab.com/congreso-avila.html"},"40,55 %","Vox","22,87 %",1],[{"texto":"Palencia","url":"https://electorallab.com/congreso-palencia.html"},"40,39 %","PSOE","29,74 %",2],[{"texto":"Ciudad Real","url":"https://electorallab.com/congreso-ciudad-real.html"},"39,70 %","PSOE","31,07 %",2],[{"texto":"Burgos","url":"https://electorallab.com/congreso-burgos.html"},"39,36 %","PSOE","29,75 %",2],[{"texto":"Valladolid","url":"https://electorallab.com/congreso-valladolid.html"},"39,17 %","PSOE","27,96 %",2],[{"texto":"Madrid","url":"https://electorallab.com/congreso-madrid.html"},"39,17 %","PSOE","24,49 %",16],[{"texto":"Albacete","url":"https://electorallab.com/congreso-albacete.html"},"39,12 %","PSOE","30,29 %",2],[{"texto":"Cuenca","url":"https://electorallab.com/congreso-cuenca.html"},"39,02 %","PSOE","32,96 %",1],[{"texto":"Pontevedra","url":"https://electorallab.com/congreso-pontevedra.html"},"38,39 %","PSOE","24,72 %",4],[{"texto":"Murcia","url":"https://electorallab.com/congreso-murcia.html"},"38,21 %","Vox","31,47 %",4],[{"texto":"Huesca","url":"https://electorallab.com/congreso-huesca.html"},"38,11 %","PSOE","31,37 %",2],[{"texto":"Almería","url":"https://electorallab.com/congreso-almeria.html"},"37,32 %","Vox","28,29 %",3],[{"texto":"Toledo","url":"https://electorallab.com/congreso-toledo.html"},"36,76 %","PSOE","28,28 %",2],[{"texto":"Cáceres","url":"https://electorallab.com/congreso-caceres.html"},"36,72 %","PSOE","33,68 %",2],[{"texto":"Alicante","url":"https://electorallab.com/congreso-alicante.html"},"36,62 %","PSOE","26,20 %",5],[{"texto":"Badajoz","url":"https://electorallab.com/congreso-badajoz.html"},"36,55 %","PSOE","33,97 %",2],[{"texto":"Zaragoza","url":"https://electorallab.com/congreso-zaragoza.html"},"36,17 %","PSOE","28,35 %",3],[{"texto":"Ceuta","url":"https://electorallab.com/congreso-ceuta.html"},"35,55 %","Vox","33,09 %",1],[{"texto":"Guadalajara","url":"https://electorallab.com/congreso-guadalajara.html"},"35,39 %","PSOE","28,76 %",1],[{"texto":"Castellón","url":"https://electorallab.com/congreso-castellon.html"},"35,23 %","PSOE","26,90 %",2],[{"texto":"León","url":"https://electorallab.com/congreso-leon.html"},"35,15 %","PSOE","28,56 %",2],[{"texto":"Asturias","url":"https://electorallab.com/congreso-asturias.html"},"34,97 %","PSOE","30,09 %",3],[{"texto":"Soria","url":"https://electorallab.com/congreso-soria.html"},"34,95 %","PSOE","24,54 %",1],[{"texto":"Jaén","url":"https://electorallab.com/congreso-jaen.html"},"34,78 %","PSOE","30,81 %",2],[{"texto":"Málaga","url":"https://electorallab.com/congreso-malaga.html"},"34,73 %","PSOE","24,98 %",5],[{"texto":"Córdoba","url":"https://electorallab.com/congreso-cordoba.html"},"34,65 %","PSOE","26,62 %",3],[{"texto":"Baleares","url":"https://electorallab.com/congreso-baleares.html"},"34,53 %","PSOE","25,96 %",3],[{"texto":"Granada","url":"https://electorallab.com/congreso-granada.html"},"33,97 %","PSOE","27,41 %",3],[{"texto":"Valencia","url":"https://electorallab.com/congreso-valencia.html"},"33,89 %","PSOE","26,59 %",6],[{"texto":"Huelva","url":"https://electorallab.com/congreso-huelva.html"},"33,59 %","PSOE","30,14 %",2],[{"texto":"Teruel","url":"https://electorallab.com/congreso-teruel.html"},"33,04 %","PSOE","26,11 %",1],[{"texto":"Cádiz","url":"https://electorallab.com/congreso-cadiz.html"},"31,57 %","PSOE","27,51 %",3],[{"texto":"Santa Cruz de Tenerife","url":"https://electorallab.com/congreso-santa-cruz-de-tenerife.html"},"31,09 %","PSOE","26,20 %",3],[{"texto":"Sevilla","url":"https://electorallab.com/congreso-sevilla.html"},"30,64 %","PSOE","30,46 %",4],[{"texto":"Navarra","url":"https://electorallab.com/congreso-navarra.html"},"30,02 %","PSOE","24,94 %",2]],"contexto":["Ganar significa ser primero en porcentaje de voto de la circunscripción, no obtener mayoría absoluta ni gobernar ese territorio. En Navarra la candidatura es UPN-PP; en 2023 UPN y PP concurrieron por separado.","Se comparan candidaturas y elecciones diferentes, no identidades políticas inmutables. En 2023 Podemos y Compromís estaban dentro de Sumar; la correspondencia actual incluye listas y alianzas distintas. UPN aparece en 2023 por separado y en el escenario actual dentro del PP en Navarra. También ha cambiado el número de diputados de algunas provincias."],"metricas":{"provincias_actuales":44,"provincias_2023":40},"fuentes":["https://electorallab.com/data/preguntas/resultados-2023.json"],"preguntas_complementarias":[{"pregunta":"¿Cuántas provincias encabeza el PP en voto estimado?","respuesta":"Escenario de ElectoralLab a 26 de octubre de 2026. El PP encabeza el voto estimado en 44 circunscripciones. Ser primero en voto no significa obtener mayoría absoluta ni gobernar la provincia."},{"pregunta":"¿Cómo cambia esa cifra respecto a las generales de 2023?","respuesta":"Escenario de ElectoralLab a 26 de octubre de 2026. Encabezó 40 provincias en 2023 y encabeza 44 en la proyección: diferencia de +4. Se comparan un resultado definitivo y una estimación."}],"siguiente_paso":{"texto":"Explora el reparto de PP en el mapa","url":"https://electorallab.com/elecciones.html?partido=PP#congreso","detalle":"Abre el mapa con esta candidatura destacada y consulta las provincias."}}